Tuesday Nov 29, 2022

GDP monthly estimate, UK : April 2022 – Office for National Statistics

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3. The services sector

Services fell by 0.3% in April 2022, and this was the largest contributor to April’s fall in GDP. This is the second consecutive month of negative growth seen in the services sector, following a fall of 0.2% in March 2022.

Human health and social work activities fell by 5.6% in April 2022, and this was the main negative contributor to April’s fall in services (detracting 0.5 percentage points as shown in figure 3). The driver of this fall was human health activities, which fell by 7.6%. This largely reflects the significant reduction in the coronavirus (COVID-19) NHS Test and Trace activity following changes to testing policies across the UK, particularly the changes to the COVID-19 testing policy in England from April. Also in this sector, residential care activities and social work activities without accommodation fell by 0.6% and 0.1% respectively.

The largest positive contributor to services in April 2022 was the wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles sub-sector, growing by 2.7%. The main driver of growth within this sub-sector was the wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles industry, which increased 15.2% following a fall of 15.1% in March 2022 (which was the weakest March for new car registrations since 1998, according to The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT)). Elsewhere in this sector, retail trade grew by 1.4% in April 2022, while wholesale trade grew by 0.1%.

Figure 3: Human health and social work activities was the main contributor to the fall in services output in April 2022

Monthly services contributions to GDP, April 2022, UK

Source: Office for National Statistics – GDP monthly estimate

Notes:
  1. Sum of component contributions may not sum to total services growth because of rounding.

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NHS Test and Trace services and vaccine programmes

The NHS Test and Trace and COVID-19 vaccination programme detracted 0.5 percentage points from GDP growth in April 2022. This was driven by further falls in NHS Test and Trace numbers, which fell by 70%, reflecting the changes to the COVID-19 testing policy in England from April. The vaccination programmes grew by 71% on the month on account of the spring booster campaign as shown in Table 1.

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A full record of the volume estimates of the NHS Test and Trace service and vaccination programmes, along with their contribution to GDP growth, can be found in our accompanying dataset.

Consumer facing services

Output in consumer-facing services grew by 2.6% in April 2022, following a fall of 1.8% in March. The April increase was driven by growth of 7.6% in other personal service activities, with particular strength from the hairdressing and grooming industry. Furthermore, retail trade also grew by 1.4% on the month to April driven by growth in food stores as shown in our retail sales bulletin. This was partially offset by gambling and betting activities, the largest negative contributor in consumer-facing services, falling 2.5%.

Consumer-facing services …….

Source: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpmonthlyestimateuk/april2022

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